Day 4: World Cup Diary & Bets

 

World Cup Hub — Daily Diary: Day 4

Day 3 Recap

• Switzerland’s 26 shots is their most in a World Cup match on record
• Morocco (xG 1.52) pushed Brazil (xG 1.23), all the way in 1-1 draw
• Scotland finally won a World Cup match. The last came back in 1990

Day 4 Preview

• Sweden finished bottom of their qualifying group, qualifying courtesy of their UEFA
• Nations play-off win
• Sweden are unbeaten across their last four opening matches (W1 D3)
• Tunisia are at their 7^th consecutive World Cup, yet have won only three of their 18 matches (at a win rate of 16.7%)
• Ecuador lost twice and conceded only 5 goals in 18 qualifier matches
• Ivory Coast were highest scorers (25) and did not concede in qualifying
• Japan beat both Germany and Spain in 2022
• Netherlands unbeaten in their last 16 World Cup group matches (W12 D4)
• Germany have not kept a clean sheet at the World Cup since the 2014 World Cup Final

Day 4 Recommended Bets

 

Germany Curacao

No bet

Netherlands vs Japan

1pt Netherlands at around 2.12

Ivory Coast vs Ecuador

 

1pt Over 2.5 goals at 3.00

1pt Ivory Coast win at 3.35

Sweden vs Tunisia

1pt Both Teams To Score

 

Tournament Record

1pt Mexico -1.0 & -1.5, around 2.11 – WIN

1pt Mexico / South Africa BTTS, around 2.62 – LOSE

1pt South Korea -0.5, around 2.82 – WIN

1pt South Korea / Czechia Over 2.5, around 2.36 – WIN

Day 1 match P/L: +3.29pts from 4pts staked. Tournament total: +3.29pts.

1pt Bosnia AH 0.00 (DNB), trading around 3.52 – SCRATCH

1pt Canada / Bosnia, Both Teams to Score, trading around 2.10 – WIN

1pt Paraguay AH 0.00 (DNB), trading around 3.20- LOSE

1pt USA / Paraguay, Both Teams to Score, trading around 2.10 – WIN

Day 2 match P/L: +1.20pts from 4pts staked. Tournament total: +4.49pts.

1pt Qatar / Switzerland, Under 2.5 goals, trading around 2.38 – WIN

1pt Brazil / Morocco, Both Teams to Score, trading around 2.14 – WIN

1pt Haiti / Scotland, Over 2.5 Goals, trading around 1.89 – LOSE

1pt Turkiye AH -1.00, trading around 2.46 – TBC

Day 3 match P/L: +1.20pts from 4pts staked. Tournament total: +4.49pts.

 

Tournament outrights — open positions

Golden Boot: Bruno Fernandes 130.0, Yamal 36.0, Messi 26.0, Gakpo 50.0

Golden Ball: Bruno Fernandes 19.0